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Finance

EU Eyes Rationing Moves to Aid Collateral

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(Bloomberg) — The European Commission is proposing a mandatory cut on energy use in the bloc, as well as steps to ease the crunch in markets caused by ballooning collateral demands.

Commission President Ursula von der Leyen also laid out plans to raise 140 billion euros ($140 billion) from energy companies’ profits as part of a series of radical steps to stem the biggest energy crisis in decades. They all need to be signed off by member states and discussions won’t be easy.

But the market is already starting to take some of these measures into account, with gas prices slipping about 40% compared with just two weeks ago.

Prices are still more than seven times higher than the typical levels for this time of the year, underscoring the challenge policy makers face.

Key Developments:

  • EU proposes relaxing rules on energy-trading margins
  • EU plans to raise $140 billion to cushion cost-of-living crisis…
  • …and starts talks with Norway to cut gas prices
  • It also wants a mandatory curb on energy demand
  • Germany considers nationalizing Uniper
  • France warns of a difficult winter
  • Gas prices rise
  • Europe is seeking to start its own LNG index
  • IEA lowers global oil demand outlook
  • Here’s a link to the EU’s full plans; details here

(Timestamps in London.)

EU Proposes Easier Collateral Rules (1:30 p.m.)

The Commission has proposed a series of regulatory changes that could help mitigate the liquidity crisis currently ripping through the continent’s energy providers.

Measures include raising the clearing threshold for commodities and other derivatives to €4 billion ($4 billion) and allowing bank guarantees to be accepted as collateral against margin calls, according to the document.

The European Securities and Markets Authority has until Sept. 22 to respond to the proposals, the document states. ESMA said Tuesday it was considering measures to limit stress in the energy market.

France Can Meet Normal Winter Gas Demand (1:15 p.m.)

France can meet gas demand for an average winter, although it could get tight during the coldest days, gas grid operators GRTgaz and Terega SA said in a statement. They urged caution on consumption of the fuel to avoid supply restrictions during the winter.

Germany Confirms Loan Guarantees (12:36 p.m.)

German Finance Minister Christian Lindner confirmed that the government wants to use a fund created to help companies cope with the economic hit from the coronavirus pandemic to provide loan guarantees for struggling energy firms.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s cabinet signed off Wednesday on the plan — which will be overseen by state development bank KfW — and the ruling parties will now draw up the required legislation, Lindner told reporters in Berlin.

UK to Unveil Support Package for Businesses (12:25 p.m.)

The UK will set out how it plans to support businesses facing surging energy costs next week, Prime Minister Liz Truss’s spokesman said, adding that the measures would be backdated to Oct. 1 if needed.

The government is still working on details of the package, including whether it will require legislation to implement, spokesman Max Blain said Wednesday. Ministers are also looking at whether the Parliament recess, which is due to start at the close of business on Sept. 22, can be changed to accommodate an announcement, he said.

Commission President Hopes for Deal by Month End (11:39 a.m.)

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said she hopes a deal on emergency measures to help rein in the energy crisis will be reached by the end of this month.

Uniper Confirms Germany Mulling Nationalization (11:14 a.m.)

Germany, Fortum Oyj and Uniper are looking at options including a straight equity increase that would result in the German government taking a significant majority stake in Uniper, the utility said in a statement, confirming an earlier Bloomberg report. No decisions have been made beyond what was agreed in a bailout package in July.

Fortum Bonds Rise, Uniper Shares Drop (11:10 a.m.)

Fortum saw its bonds rise and was the best performer in a European index of credit risk following news about the potential nationalization of its German subsidiary Uniper.

The Finnish energy company, which owns a 75% stake in Uniper, went from being the worst performer in the iTraxx Main index of European credit default swaps in early trades to its best performer. Its five-year credit default swap, which is the cost of insuring against a default, was down 14.7 basis points at 275.98, a one-month low.

Fortum’s bonds maturing in February 2026 were similarly up slightly to a cash price of 90.77 cents on the euro, after having dropped earlier in the day on news that the EU is planning to cap revenues for low-cost power producers.

In the stock market, Uniper led utilities lower in Europe. The company’s shares fell as much as 17% to a record low.

Nuclear-Unit Repairs on ‘Good Pace’: EDF

Electricite de France SA is rushing to get its hobbled nuclear reactors back in service by the time winter arrives. “Our target is to have about the same available nuclear output this winter than in the previous winter, when things went well,” EDF Chief Executive Officer Jean-Bernard Levy said at a parliamentary hearing in Paris. Repairs on 10 units affected by so-called stress corrosion cracks are progressing “at a good pace,” he added.

Europe Considers LNG Index (10:10 a.m.)

The European Union plans to work out a price index for imports of liquefied natural gas, said Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. The move could be a way of addressing high gas

costs amid a rift among the bloc’s 27 nations over if and how to impose price caps on imports.

Europe relies on LNG more and more to fill in gaps left by reduced Russian gas, but the current benchmark is based on pipeline supplies and there is no regional price on seaborne imports of the super-chilled fuel.

Germany Sees $10 Billion From Windfall Levy (9:44 a.m.)

Germany could reap around 10 billion euros from the windfall profits from energy companies, according to Finance Minister Christian Lindner. The additional revenue will be used to finance part of a 65 billion-euro relief package unveiled this month to help citizens and companies cope with soaring energy prices.

EU-Norway Talks to Curb Gas Price (9:27 a.m.)

The European Union is in talks with energy powerhouse Norway as part of its efforts to cut the price of gas and tame the damage to its economy caused by lost Russian supplies, according to European Commission’s von der Leyen.

It’s not clear how willing non-EU member Norway will be to cut prices to help its ally. While Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store said Tuesday that it’s in Norway’s interest to have more stable — and lower — prices, he has also said a European cap would be a bad idea that would end up crimping supply.

Read: EU Starts Talks With Norway to Try to Cut the Price of Gas

Russia’s Oil Revenue Falls (9:13 a.m.)

Russia’s oil-export revenue contracted to $17.7 billion in August, the lowest since at least March, as a decline in crude prices more than offset higher supplies abroad, according to the International Energy Agency. That’s a drop of $1.2 billion from a month earlier, even as Russia’s daily crude and oil products exports rose by 220,000 barrels to 7.6 million barrels, the IEA estimated.

India Rushes to Buy LNG After Price Dip (9:11 a.m.)

India is rushing to procure liquefied natural gas shipments to take advantage of a recent dip in prices, intensifying global competition for the fuel.

The energy crisis made spot LNG too expensive for Indian buyers for the last several months and exacerbated the South Asian nation’s fuel shortage. Spot prices have now halved since last month’s peak, prompting a scramble by companies — including GAIL India Ltd and Indian Oil Corp. — for shipments for delivery through November, according to traders.

Conservative Group Chief Hits Out at Tardiness (9:05 a.m.)

Manfred Weber, chairman of the European People’s Party, criticized the Commission for being too slow to act on lowering energy prices for consumers and businesses, accusing it of having wasted the summer. He also said that it was not right for Germany to stop producing nuclear energy at a time when it is asking the Netherlands for more solidarity in providing gas.

“Let’s be honest, it was a lost summer,” he said in Parliament. “The markets are obviously

speculating against European solidarity when winter will really be hard.”

France Plans Alerts to Curb Demand (9:00 a.m.)

France’s power-grid operator expects to ask households, businesses and local governments to reduce energy consumption several times over the next six months. The country — traditionally a net exporter of energy — has become a net importer due to issues with its fleet of nuclear plants. In most scenarios, the red “Ecowatt” alert to curb demand would only be issued on a handful of days this winter, grid operator RTE said in a report. It doesn’t expect full blackouts.

Read: France Expects to Issue Alerts to Curb Power Demand This Winter

IEA Trims Oil Demand Estimate (9:00 a.m.)

The IEA trimmed estimates for global oil demand growth this year as renewed Covid lockdowns in China slow activity in the world’s second-biggest consumer.

World oil consumption will increase by 2 million barrels a day this year — about 110,000 a day less than previously forecast — to average 99.7 million barrels a day, the Paris-based agency said in its latest monthly report. Demand will expand again by about the same amount in 2023, it said.

China — the engine of world oil demand growth for much of the past two decades — will see a contraction this year of 420,000 barrels a day in product demand, a much steeper drop than envisaged last month.

Europe Launches $3 Billion Hydrogen Bank (8:56 a.m.)

The EU will create a hydrogen bank to invest 3 billion euros to help scale up the nascent industry producing the clean-burning fuel. Hydrogen made from renewable energy is a key part of the EU’s climate ambitions and shift away from Russian natural gas, but investment has been insufficient to make any meaningful impact.

The European Hydrogen Bank will help guarantee the purchase of hydrogen to create a market for the fuel in the coming years, according to von der Leyen.

Germany Mulls Nationalizing Uniper (8:44 a.m.)

The German government may increase its stake in Uniper SE above 50% and is open to taking the historic step of fully nationalizing the country’s biggest gas importer if necessary to prevent a collapse of the energy system.

Uniper needs more help from the state after already tapping into a support package that could be worth as much as 20 billion euros, according to people familiar with the matter.

A surge in gas prices and Russian supply cuts have triggered millions in daily losses, prompting the government to step in with a rescue package in July which gave it a 30% stake.

Europe’s Cost-of-Living Fund (8:23 a.m.)

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the bloc could raise more than 140 billion euros to cushion the cost-of-living blow for consumers by capping revenues from low-cost power producers.

“In our social market economy, profits are good. But in these times it is wrong to receive extraordinary record profits benefiting from war and on the back of consumers.” von der Leyen told the European Parliament on Wednesday.

Gas Prices Steady (8:00 a.m.)

Natural gas prices in Europe were little changed, with traders awaiting the energy intervention plan due to be unveiled by the European Commission. Authorities are designing measures to try to stem the energy crisis.

Von der Leyen said that the EU needs to keep working to lower gas prices.

Writes /financeyahoo/

Reports /TrainViral/

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Crypto

Bitcoin’s Recovery – the Downturn Is Over

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The market is currently in a news-driven environment where the prices of cryptocurrencies have been determined by news agenda rather than fundamentals.

Bitfinex analysts have warned crypto investors to be cautious as bitcoin’s (BTC) recovery over the weekend is not a sign that its correction is over; the asset could witness more bloodshed in the near term.

In the latest Bitfinex Alpha report, experts deemed the market’s reaction this week critical, especially as supply alleviated over the weekend could return when traditional markets open.

“No Man’s Land”

Since Saturday, bitcoin has risen almost 10% from $57,600 to $63,000, closing last week in the green. The asset has surged above the 125-day range low of $60,200, which it broke through earlier this month after news of the German government’s massive BTC selling hit the market.

Market sentiment began to improve after reports that wallets linked to the German government were almost empty. However, the positive sentiment may not be sustained for long as the BTC the German authorities moved to trading desks and exchanges are yet to be sold.

While the supply from Germany appears to have been factored into bitcoin’s market price, Bitfinex analysts believe the end of selling pressure depends on how the involved trading desks execute their trades in the coming days.

Although the shift in sentiment underscores the market’s capacity to integrate new information and adjust expectations quickly, analysts think the market’s reaction over the first two trading days of the week cannot be overlooked for two reasons.

First, the low support level in the $60,200 range has now become a potential resistance line. Second, trading patterns over the past three months suggest that weekends are usually favorable for markets, especially on Saturdays when supply pressure seems to subside.

“We are now in no man’s land until we get clear resolution above or below this level,” the analysts said.

A News-Driven Environment

Besides the potential resistance level and three-month weekend trading pattern, the market is currently in a news-driven environment, where the prices of cryptocurrencies have been determined by news agendas rather than fundamentals.

Since selling pressure concerns are not yet completely obsolete due to upcoming Mt Gox creditor distributions, Bitfinex analysts expect such headlines to continue to have some impact on price movements. As such, the analysts urged investors to exercise caution in their trading strategies.

Reports /Trainviral/

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Crypto

Bitcoin ETFs Saw $300M in Daily Net Inflows

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BlackRock’s IBIT led with $117.25 million in inflows on July 15, also being the most traded Bitcoin ETF.

The US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a daily net inflow of $301 million on July 15th. This extended their winning streak to seven consecutive days amidst a broader market recovery.

None of the ETFs recorded outflows for the day.

Bitcoin ETFs Rake in $16.11B in Net Inflows Since Jan

According to the data compiled by SoSoValue, BlackRock’s IBIT, the top spot Bitcoin ETF by net asset value, recorded the largest net inflows of the day at $117.25 million. IBIT was also the most actively traded Bitcoin ETF on Monday, with a volume of $1.24 billion. Ark Invest and 21Shares’ ARKB came in close behind with net inflows of $117.19 million.

Fidelity’s FBTC experienced net inflows of $36.15 million on Monday, while Bitwise’s BITB saw $15.24 million in inflows. VanEck’s HODL, Invesco and Galaxy Digital’s BTCO, and Franklin Templeton’s EZBC funds also recorded net inflows. Meanwhile, Grayscale’s GBTC and other ETFs, such as Valkyrie’s BRRR, WisdomTree’s BTCW, and Hashdex’s DEFI, registered no flows for the day.

A total of $2.26 billion was traded on Monday. The trading volume for these ETFs was less than in March when it exceeded $8 billion on some days. Meanwhile, these funds have collectively attracted $16.11 billion in net inflow since their January launch.

What’s Next For Bitcoin?

Earlier this month, bitcoin’s price decline was mainly due to fears of massive selling pressure from Mt. Gox and the German government’s BTC sales.

But the assassination attempt on pro-crypto former US President and presumptive Republican candidate Donald Trump at Saturday’s rally seemed to spark a recovery in the world’s largest digital asset, and experts are bullish on the asset’s price trajectory going forward. Bitcoin surged more than 9% over the past week and was currently trading slightly below $64,000.

Veteran trader Peter Brandt discussed bitcoin’s price outlook, suggesting a potential major rally. He referred to a pattern he terms “Hump->Slump->Bump->Dump->Pump” and highlighted that the July 5 double top attempt was a bear trap, confirmed by the July 13 close. He sees a likely continued upward trend but warned that a close below $56,000 would negate this bullish view.

“Bitcoin $BTC could be unfolding its often-repeated Hump…Slump…Bump…Dump…Pump chart construction. Jul 5 attempt at the double top was a bear trap, confirmed by Jul 13 close. Most likely scenario now is that bears are trapped. Close below $56k negates this interpretation”

Reports /Trainviral/

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Crypto

LI.FI DeFi Platform Exploited, Over $8M Lost

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PeckShield alert reveals LI.FI’s protocol vulnerability is similar to a March 2022 attack, with the same bug recurring.

The decentralized finance (DeFi) platform LI.FI protocol has suffered an exploit amounting to over $8 million.

Cyvers Alerts reported detecting suspicious transactions within the LI.FI cross-chain transaction aggregator.

LI.FI Issues Warning After $8 Million Exploit

LI.FI confirmed the breach in a statement on July 16 via X: “Please do not interact with any http://LI.FI powered applications for now! We’re investigating a potential exploit.” The team clarified that users who did not set infinite approval are not at risk, emphasizing that only those who manually set infinite approvals seem to be affected.

According to Cyvers Alerts, more than $8 million in user funds have been stolen, with the majority being stablecoins. According to on-chain data, the hacker’s wallet holds 1,715 Ether (ETH) valued at $5.8 million and USDC, USDT, and DAI stablecoins.

Cyvers Alerts advised users to revoke relevant authorizations immediately, noting that the attacker is actively converting USDC and USDT into ETH.

Crypto security firm Decurity provided insights into the exploit, stating that it involves the LI.FI bridge. “The root cause is a possibility of an arbitrary call with user-controlled data via depositToGasZipERC20() in GasZipFacet, which was deployed 5 days ago,” Decurity explained on X.

“In general, the risks behind routers, cross-chain swaps, etc. are about token approvals. Raw native assets like (unwrapped) ETH are safe from these kinds of hacks b/c they don’t have approvals as an option. Most users & wallets also no longer do “infinite approvals” which gives a smart contract total control on removing any amount of their tokens. It’s important to understand which tokens you’re approving to which contracts.

This dashboard looks for all transactions of a user that intersects Lifi. Not all of these transactions indicate risk- but you can see how, broadly, integrations & layers of tech (like how Metamask bridge uses Lifi on BSC) can complicate how users do or don’t put their assets at risk. Revoke Cash is the most well known approval manager app.

But it’s also good security practice to simply rotate your address. New addresses start with 0 approvals, so starting fresh by moving your tokens to a fresh address is another good security practice.” – commented Carlos Mercado, Data Scientist at Flipside Crypto.

Recent Exploit Mirrors March 2022 Attack

Further analysis by PeckShield alert revealed that the vulnerability is similar to a previous attack on LI.FI’s protocol that occurred on March 20, 2022. That incident saw a bad actor exploit LI.FI’s smart contract, specifically the swapping feature, before bridging.

The attacker manipulated the system to call token contracts directly within their contract’s context, making users who had given infinite approval vulnerable. This exploit resulted in the theft of approximately 205 ETH from 29 wallets, affecting tokens such as USDC, MATIC, RPL, GNO, USDT, MVI, AUDIO, AAVE, JRT, and DAI.

“The bug is basically the same. Are we learning anything from the past lesson(s)?” PeckShield Alert said in a July 16 X post.

Following the 2022 incident, LI.FI disabled all swap methods in its smart contract and worked on developing a fix to prevent future vulnerabilities. However, the recurrence of a similar exploit raises concerns about the platform’s security measures and whether adequate steps were taken to address the vulnerabilities identified in the previous breach.

LI.FI is a liquidity aggregation protocol that allows users to trade across various blockchains, venues, and bridges.

Reports /Trainviral/

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